The Lottery Debate
Lottery is a form of gambling in which numbers are drawn to determine the winner. The casting of lots has a long history in human society—it is even mentioned in the Bible. The use of lottery for material gain, however, is of more recent origin. The first recorded public lotteries to offer tickets with prize money were held in the Low Countries in the 15th century for such purposes as municipal repairs and assistance for the poor. In modern times, state-sponsored lotteries are a popular way to raise funds for public expenditures, and the public has widely accepted them as an alternative to more traditional forms of taxation.
The debate over lotteries often revolves around moral questions. One argument is that lotteries are not the kind of “voluntary” revenue that supporters claim; they are a regressive form of taxation, hurting those who can least afford it. Another is that lotteries promote gambling, and encourage compulsive gamblers who may end up in financial distress. State officials have often argued that promoting the lottery serves a public purpose by siphoning money away from illegal gambling.
In the United States, where lotteries are legal and widespread, a common argument is that they are a necessary part of a modern economy. The economy’s rapid expansion and growing reliance on private credit compelled states to find new ways to finance public spending, and the lottery was an obvious solution. The rapid growth of the social safety nets in the immediate post-World War II period also fueled the growth of lotteries, and states looked at them as a way to expand their budgets without having to raise taxes on those who could least afford it.
State officials argue that lotteries are a way to get the public to “pay for things they don’t want to pay for now.” The fact that the money is spent voluntarily instead of grudgingly, as with a sales or income tax, makes it seem less painful than a general increase in state funding. This argument, which has been echoed by many of the writers who have criticized the lottery’s moral pitfalls, is flawed for several reasons.
The main problem is that it takes a very long time for the lottery to actually distribute winning tickets, and the chances of hitting a particular combination are not guaranteed. The most likely combinations—four evens and two odds, for example—have only a 3% chance of being drawn. And the odds are further diminished if you buy more than one ticket.